- The Yankees are -190 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+155) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-190) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Cardinals are 67-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 71-63 ATS.
Cardinals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-7, 3.31 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 9-6, 3.91 ERA
Cardinals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -105 | +155 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -115 | -190 |
Cardinals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 39 games (+30.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+14.80 Units / 51% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+13.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+24.60 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+19.25 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+16.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+13.00 Units / 100% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 66 away games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 77 games (+19.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 100 games (+14.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+0.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 67-67 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -3.52% ROI).
- 67-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -7.04% ROI
- 62-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -8.34% ROI
- 67-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.02% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 71-63 against the Run Line (+10.5 Units / 6.39% ROI).
- 78-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 72-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.75 Units / 5.24% ROI
- 58-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -21 Units / -14.29% ROI
Yankees vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Yankees vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (450/900) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 57% (435/757) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 61% (1,498/2,434) this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 52% of Erick Fedde’s pitches (394/757) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 76% of the time (873/1,154) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 42% (198/476) against Marcus Stroman when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 56% (266/476) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Marcus Stroman has located his fastball away 57% of the time (498/866) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Cardinals are just 23-38 (.377) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Cardinals are just 14-119 (.105) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Cardinals are 36-18 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 117-36 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Yankees are 43-10 (.811) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees are 37-6 (.860) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .753.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .381 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .659 (1,494 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Cardinals are just 43-67 (.381) against the run line (-30.1% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .295 (1,494 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 83 walks in 653 PA’s (13%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .335 (5,173 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Yankees hitters have drawn 326 walks in 3,022 PA’s (11%) against starting pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .222 since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .211 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .204 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .231 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Yankees vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
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