- The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Braves Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | MARQ | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Cubs are 24-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 19-18 ATS.
Cubs vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 5-0, 1.09 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 2-1, 1.54 ERA
Cubs vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Braves | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -145 |
Cubs vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 13 games (+19.55 Units / 150% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+14.15 Units / 94% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+13.80 Units / 125% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 23 games (+18.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in his last 15 games at home (+15.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+14.70 Units / 108% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+12.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 24-17 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 6.98% ROI).
- 24-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.1 Units / 16.31% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.35 Units / -14.02% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 5.01% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 19-18 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 3.19% ROI).
- 24-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 5.98% ROI
- 12-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -31.93% ROI
- 23-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.9 Units / 24.09% ROI
Braves vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Braves vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Braves vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (219/403) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .274 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .131 (8 Total Bases / 61 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .376 — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .471 (160 PA’s) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 97th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 18 of 369 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .171 (12-for-70) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .112 (17-for-152) against Reynaldo Lopez with two-strikes since last season — tied for 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: .159 — 92nd Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has struck out 31% (48/154) of right-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for 9th best among in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 90th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cubs are just 16-29 (.356) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Cubs are 24-19 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Cubs are 48-52 (.480) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Cubs are just 39-39 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Braves are 34-53 (.391) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Braves are 29-36 (.446) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Braves are 49-46 (.516) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .836 (313 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Cubs hitters are slugging .493 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .372.
The Cubs are batting .271 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Cubs hitters are slugging .471 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .581 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Braves hitters are slugging .506 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters are slugging .463 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters are slugging .478 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 19 double plays in 318 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.9 MPH this season (836 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves have won 75% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Braves vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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