- The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (+155) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Cubs are 24-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 20-18 ATS.
Cubs vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 3-0, 1.13 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 5-1, 2.98 ERA
Cubs vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -130 | O 8 -115 | +155 |
| Braves | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -105 | -190 |
Cubs vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+18.55 Units / 133% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+15.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+13.15 Units / 82% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.80 Units / 107% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+17.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+13.70 Units / 94% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+12.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+5.95 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.05 Units / 1% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 24-18 against the Run Line (+2.25 Units / 3.76% ROI).
- 24-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 14.02% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -16.06% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 7.06% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 20-18 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 6.7% ROI).
- 25-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 7.34% ROI
- 12-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -33.73% ROI
- 24-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.9 Units / 25.83% ROI
Braves vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Orlando Arcia (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (9/73) against Jameson Taillon this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season (157 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 89.9
Jameson Taillon has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 13 innings — George Kirby has the longest active streak at 23.
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 71% (971/1,369) against right-handed batters since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
10 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
10 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
10 of Chris Sale’s 31 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 97th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.6 MPH this season (106 balls in play) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cubs are 24-19 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Cubs are just 39-39 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Cubs are 48-52 (.480) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Cubs are just 16-30 (.348) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 49-46 (.516) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 29-36 (.446) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .280 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .792 (2,046 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,046 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .821 (329 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .476 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Braves are batting .315 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Braves hitters are slugging .466 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters are slugging .580 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 31% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.0 MPH this season (881 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.0 MPH (881 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Braves vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
Bet now on Cubs vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
