- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Braves TV Channel: BSSO | MARQ | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on Wednesday, May 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Cubs are 24-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 21-18 ATS.
Cubs vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 3-0, 1.69 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 3-0, 3.27 ERA
Cubs vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -115 | +140 |
| Braves | -1.5 +120 | U 9 -105 | -165 |
Cubs vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+17.55 Units / 117% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+15.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 away games (+13.15 Units / 82% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.80 Units / 91% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+11.55 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+14.95 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+12.70 Units / 81% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 41 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 25 games (+19.75 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+6.35 Units / 19% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 24-19 against the Run Line (+0.95 Units / 1.55% ROI).
- 24-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 11.81% ROI
- 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -18% ROI
- 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 9.01% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 21-18 against the Run Line (+4 Units / 9.03% ROI).
- 26-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 8.57% ROI
- 12-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.1 Units / -35.45% ROI
- 25-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.9 Units / 27.48% ROI
Braves vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Braves vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .423 (186 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: .725 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .394 (80 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .651 — 93rd Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .389 (155 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .742 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (56/316) against Javier Assad this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 38 of 329 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (269/654) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 61 of 608 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (74/169) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cubs are just 10-14 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 24-20 (.545) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Cubs are just 16-30 (.348) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Cubs are just 39-39 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Braves are 45-92 (.328) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Braves are 85-44 (.659) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .785 (2,075 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Cubs are batting .268 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cubs hitters are slugging .452 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Cubs are batting .283 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .583 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Braves hitters are slugging .463 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Braves hitters are slugging .504 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters are slugging .478 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 36 of 385 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.0 MPH (881 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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