- The Cubs are -115 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: ATV
The Chicago Cubs (-115) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-105) on Friday, May 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 19-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 17-15 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 2-2, 6.05 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Quinn Priester 1-0, 3.79 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+22.30 Units / 223% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+9.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+7.70 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+15.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 101% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 28 games (+15.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+15.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.02 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+9.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 17-15 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 6.51% ROI).
- 19-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 11.98% ROI
- 19-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 21.05% ROI
- 11-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.2 Units / -28.37% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 17-15 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.48% ROI).
- 16-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -2.86% ROI
- 13-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -13.28% ROI
- 16-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 5% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Quinn Priester (MIL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +110 |
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (40/106) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (98/235) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (73/132) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 98th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (498/1,332) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (34/60) against Quinn Priester this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 96th Percentile.
Quinn Priester has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.0 innings he’s appeared — Jhoan Duran has the longest active streak at 45.2.
Quinn Priester has a strike rate of just 58% (198/339) this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (10/60) against Quinn Priester this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 93rd Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are 10-3 (.769) after a loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Cubs are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Cubs are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Cubs are 55-36 (.604) after a loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 55-38 (.591) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Cubs (10th best runs allowed) today.
The Brewers are just 0-12 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Brewers are 201-155 (.565) since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers were 26-21 (.553) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Rockies (30th best runs allowed) today.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .498 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .373.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .864 (305 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .854 (661 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Cubs hitters have struck out in just 16% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have 8 extra-base hits out of 43 total hits (just 19%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Cubs allowed 3.41 runs per game (276/81) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Cubs pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,126 opportunities (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
More MLB Reading:
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