- The Cubs are +100 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | BSWI
The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 28-24 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-2, 5.69 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Robert Gasser 2-0, 2.65 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +160 | O 8 -110 | +100 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -210 | U 8 -110 | -120 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+16.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 41 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 26 of his last 41 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games (+10.90 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+16.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 47 games (+14.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+11.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 51 games (+3.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 52 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 28-25 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -4.17% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 2.99% ROI
- 22-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -19.09% ROI
- 30-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.75 Units / 9.87% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 28-24 against the Run Line (+0.7 Units / 0.97% ROI).
- 30-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 13.18% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.1 Units / 8.92% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -16.96% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Madrigal (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Patrick Wisdom (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Gasser (MIL) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (611/823) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,505/3,514) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (585/1,335) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 72% of the time (2,516/3,514) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .417 (10-for-24) against Robert Gasser — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .225 — second Percentile.
Robert Gasser has allowed an OBP of .429 (28 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .276 — first Percentile.
Robert Gasser has not struck out any hitters in 29 PA’s over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Robert Gasser has a strikeout rate of just 9% (6 SO in 71 PAs) this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 40-40 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are 26-23 (.531) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are just 5-82 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 28-53 (.346) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 42-98 (.300) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 41-44 (.482) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Brewers are 96-70 (.578) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have drawn 151 walks in 1,525 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting just .204 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .546 (184 PA’s) over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Cubs hitters have drawn 583 walks in 6,028 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,622 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 41 times (9%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 23 double plays in 402 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.5 MPH since last season (5,375 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 13 of 105 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (971.1 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.33 (640.2 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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