- The Brewers are -160 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | BSWI
The Chicago Cubs (+135) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-160) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 27-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 29-24 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 1-1, 3.21 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 3-3, 3.86 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -120 | +135 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +125 | U 8 +100 | -160 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+16.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 42 games (+14.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 42 games (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 away games (+11.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 23 games (+9.90 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+24.00 Units / 600% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+17.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 48 games (+13.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+10.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+11.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 away games (+5.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 53 games (+9.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 53 games (+8.29 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 28-26 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -5.42% ROI).
- 27-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 1.24% ROI
- 22-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -20.59% ROI
- 31-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 11.37% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 29-24 against the Run Line (+1.7 Units / 2.3% ROI).
- 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 14.56% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 6.86% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.7 Units / -14.92% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddy Peralta (MIL) | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (137/307) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (79/154) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .098 (8-for-82) against Ben Brown with two-strikes this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .168 — 95th Percentile.
33 of Ben Brown’s 45 strikeouts (73%) have come on curveballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 33% (118 SO in 359 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has struck out 34% (40/116) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 60% (71 SO in 119 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 32% (29 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 16-31 (.340) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are just 5-82 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Cubs are just 40-41 (.494) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs are 26-23 (.531) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 28-53 (.346) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 41-44 (.482) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Brewers are 62-41 (.602) at home since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Brewers are 58-55 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .460 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .368.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .256 over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .545 (431 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .419 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 42 times (9%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
The Brewers are batting just .233 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Brewers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 23 double plays in 407 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (971.1 IP) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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