- The Cubs are -110 favorites vs the Brewers
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | FDWI
The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-110) on Saturday, May 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 20-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 17-16 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 1-1, 4.01 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 4-0, 1.14 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +154 | O 8.5 -110 | -110 |
| Brewers | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -110 | -110 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+25.90 Units / 324% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 59% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 56% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+10.60 Units / 212% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 29 games (+16.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+16.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.42 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+8.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.35 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 18-15 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 9.47% ROI).
- 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 14.06% ROI
- 20-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.25 Units / 23.24% ROI
- 11-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -30.59% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 17-16 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -3% ROI).
- 16-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -5.22% ROI
- 14-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -10.15% ROI
- 16-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.6 Units / 1.66% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (MIL) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (34 Total Bases / 51 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (20 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .345 — first Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 3% of right-handed batters since last season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of 1.006 (54 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .648 — third Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,306/2,224) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (515/896) in two strike counts since last season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,478/2,516) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 60% (1,902/3,191) since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are 11-6 (.647) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Cubs are 1-10 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Cubs are 10-3 (.769) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Cubs are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are just 3-138 (.021) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Brewers were 13-6 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Brewers are 61-48 (.560) after a win since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Brewers are 55-38 (.591) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Cubs (10th best runs allowed) today.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .513 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .859 (704 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Cubs hitters are slugging .290 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .872 (315 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 8 extra-base hits out of 43 total hits (just 19%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers hitters have 63 extra-base hits out of 225 total hits (just 28%) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .415 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 43% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out in the zone 59% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Brewers have won just 0% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Cubs vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
