- The Cubs are +100 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Cubs vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) on Saturday, March 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 0-0 ATS.
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 +100 | +100 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -120 | -120 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jon Berti has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+4.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Shota Imanaga has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+4.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Shota Imanaga has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+3.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Shota Imanaga has hit the Earned Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 away games (+3.35 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.45 Units / 68% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+14.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 away games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+13.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 97 games (+12.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 64 of their last 128 games (+9.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (1,478/2,660) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga allowed an OBP of just .222 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga allowed an OBP of just .237 (257 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .222 (270 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (538/758) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .259 (183-for-707) against Brandon Pfaadt since last season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 15th Percentile.
Opponents batted .279 (73-for-262) against Brandon Pfaadt when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — eighth Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .302 (60-for-199) against Brandon Pfaadt since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — fourth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs are 76-47 (.618) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
The Cubs were 32-10 (.762) when they scored in the first inning in 2024 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks were 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Diamondbacks are just 147-12 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Diamondbacks are 20-117 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2024 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .262 against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Cubs batted just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Cubs hitters have 105 extra-base hits out of 352 total hits (just 30%) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
The Cubs batted .287 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .348 (3,159 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks batted .276 at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 132 of 1,472 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (751.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Cubs have allowed 3.45 runs per game (286/83) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had 216 three-pitch strikeouts in the 2024 season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 4.70 (757.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
More MLB Reading:
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