- The Diamondbacks are -130 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | MARQ | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Sunday, March 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cubs are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 1-2 ATS.
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +160 | O 9 +100 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -210 | U 9 -120 | -130 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.35 Units / 60% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+7.35 Units / 95% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+13.75 Units / 153% ROI)
- Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 106% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 away games (+14.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 75 games (+10.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 away games (+6.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+5.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 97 games (+13.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 97 games (+12.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 64 of their last 128 games (+9.70 Units / 6% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 2-3 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -27.88% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -20% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -0.94% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -4.39% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 1-2 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -18.33% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -1.56% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -4.41% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Matthew Boyd (CLE) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd allowed a slugging percentage of just .263 (20 Total Bases / 76 ABs) on elevated fastballs in 2023 — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 31% (180/585) against Matthew Boyd in 2023 — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
44% of Matthew Boyd’s called strikeouts were elevated in 2023 — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 30% (14/46) against Matthew Boyd on elevated fastballs in 2023 — 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 88th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 382.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Eduardo Rodriguez allowed a slugging percentage of just .225 (18 Total Bases / 80 ABs) on low fastballs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez had an ERA of 1.19 (60.1 IP) against division opponents in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 4.27 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (46/147) against Eduardo Rodriguez when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs were 32-10 (.762) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Cubs are 76-47 (.618) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks were 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Diamondbacks were 67-15 (.807) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Diamondbacks are 42-44 (.488) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Diamondbacks are 19-119 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .177 (96 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Cubs hitters have 5 extra-base hits out of 7 total hits (71%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Cubs hitters have drawn 898 walks in 9,288 PA’s (10%) against RHP since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs hitters slugged just .530 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .347 (3,197 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .335 (4,367 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (751.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
More MLB Reading:
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