- The Cubs are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cubs vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / Nationals TV Channel: MARQ | MASN
The Chicago Cubs (-150) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Tuesday, June 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Cubs are 37-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 32-27 ATS.
Cubs vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Cade Horton 2-0, 3.99 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 3-5, 5.70 ERA
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -120 | -150 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | U 9.5 +100 | +125 |
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+9.35 Units / 187% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+17.90 Units / 179% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 53% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 57 games (+13.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games (+12.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 54 games (+9.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+7.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 54 games (+7.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+10.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+6.52 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.47 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 31-28 against the Run Line (+3.32 Units / 4.56% ROI).
- 37-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 11.78% ROI
- 33-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 14.41% ROI
- 22-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -22.09% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 32-27 against the Run Line (-0.3 Units / -0.39% ROI).
- 28-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.43 Units / 7.18% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -2.24% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -5.98% ROI
Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Cade Horton (CHC) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (11/15) against Cade Horton in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Cade Horton has walked 12% of right-handed batters in his last two starts — tied for 6th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (19/33) against Cade Horton in his last two starts — 9th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 90th Percentile.
Cade Horton has thrown just 46% of his pitches in the strike zone (80/175) in his last two starts — tied for 6th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 51% — eighth Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (1,101/2,162) of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his changeup for a strike just 32% (42/133) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: 59% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .452 (14-for-31) against Trevor Williams’ elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 23 total IP; League Avg: .227 — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 69% of the time (349/505) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 87 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .040.
The Cubs are 16-5 (.762) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Cubs are 17-11 (.607) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .441.
The Cubs are 75-31 (.708) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 160-186 (.461) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Nationals are just 54-89 (.378) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Cubs (12th best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 28-99 (.220) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .501 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .842 (1,133 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,133 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .212 (138 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs allowed 3.41 runs per game (276/81) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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