- The Cubs are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
- Cubs vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / Nationals TV Channel: MARQ | MASN
The Chicago Cubs (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+118) on Thursday, June 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Cubs are 38-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 33-28 ATS.
Cubs vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Drew Pomeranz 2-0, 0.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 5-1, 3.99 ERA
Cubs vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -102 | -145 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | U 9.5 -118 | +118 |
Cubs vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+13.50 Units / 135% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.60 Units / 66% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 59 games (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+12.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 57 games (+9.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+9.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+11.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.39 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.02 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+5.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 32-29 against the Run Line (+3.47 Units / 4.64% ROI).
- 38-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 10.98% ROI
- 34-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.15 Units / 13.8% ROI
- 23-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.7 Units / -21.63% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 33-28 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.83% ROI).
- 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.63 Units / 7.27% ROI
- 30-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -2.32% ROI
- 29-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -6.08% ROI
Nationals vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
Nationals vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Nationals vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +120 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Pomeranz has pitched 19.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Drew Rasmussen has the longest active streak at 23.2.
Opponents are hitless in 10 AB’s against Drew Pomeranz in his last four appearances — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 17% (1/6) against Drew Pomeranz in his last four appearances — tied for 12th lowest among among 245 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Drew Pomeranz has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 10 ABs) in his last four appearances — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .356 — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (111/302) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (111/302) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (84/511) against Jake Irvin this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (260/653) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are 2-18 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Cubs are 46-12 (.793) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
The Cubs are 14-2 (.875) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Cubs are 21-3 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 85-105 (.445) at home since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Nationals are just 39-57 (.402) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Nationals are just 5-11 (.312) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Cubs (10th best runs allowed) today.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .828 (1,210 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
Cubs hitters are slugging .490 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
The Cubs are batting .411 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .204 (143 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters had 298 extra-base hits out of 950 total hits (just 31%) against RHP in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 809 times in 4,217 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters slugged just .488 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers walked 127 of 1,437 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,126 opportunities (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
More MLB Reading:
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