- The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (+150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-185) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Cubs are 43-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 50-41 ATS.
Cubs vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 7-2, 3.18 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 9-3, 2.32 ERA
Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -130 | O 8.5 -105 | +150 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -115 | -185 |
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+10.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 48% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 82 games (+16.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 76 games (+15.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 44 games (+7.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+7.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 44-48 against the Run Line (-14.3 Units / -11.19% ROI).
- 43-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.55 Units / -6.72% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.5 Units / -13.38% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 5.02% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 50-41 against the Run Line (+16.8 Units / 16.02% ROI).
- 57-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.3 Units / 7.9% ROI
- 47-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.2 Units / 11.37% ROI
- 33-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.95 Units / -19.04% ROI
Orioles vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has walked 3 of 140 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 15 of 373 batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .170 (23-for-135) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 52% (500/970) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 72% of the time (100/138) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 71% of the time (98/138) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 66% of the time (422/636) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has thrown his cutter 29% of the time (400/1,399) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total CUT; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are just 3-36 (.077) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Cubs are just 18-36 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are just 48-47 (.505) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are 32-23 (.582) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Orioles are 51-29 (.638) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 19-14 (.576) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .294 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters have a swing rate of just 55% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Cubs hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.
The Cubs are just 11-29 (.275) against the run line (-44.4% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .809 (1,085 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Orioles hitters are slugging .456 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Orioles hitters have 123 extra-base hits out of 297 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (415.0 IP) at home this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
The Cubs have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 2.61 (234.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Orioles pitchers this month (7 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 157 of 2,277 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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