- The Orioles are -155 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | MARQ
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Tuesday, July 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Cubs are 42-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 50-40 ATS.
Cubs vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 5-4, 2.99 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-4, 3.88 ERA
Cubs vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -120 | +140 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +120 | U 9 +100 | -165 |
Cubs vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 65 games (+11.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+10.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.55 Units / 36% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 81 games (+17.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 75 games (+16.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 43 games (+9.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 43-48 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -12.09% ROI).
- 42-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -8.22% ROI
- 39-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -14.53% ROI
- 49-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.2 Units / 6.17% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 50-40 against the Run Line (+17.8 Units / 17.14% ROI).
- 57-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 9.45% ROI
- 46-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.2 Units / 10.47% ROI
- 33-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.85 Units / -18.13% ROI
Orioles vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Orioles vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Orioles vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against Jameson Taillon over the last 14 days — lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (12/173 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 13 of 502 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (3/18) against Jameson Taillon — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (27/149) against Dean Kremer this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 52% (343/658) of the time since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 61% — sixth Percentile.
Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 55% of the time (457/827) when behind in the count since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .103 (4 GB hits out of 39 GBs) against Dean Kremer with the shift this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cubs are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are just 17-36 (.321) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are just 14-27 (.341) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Cubs are just 48-47 (.505) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Orioles are 51-29 (.638) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 96-60 (.615) after a win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .275 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Cubs are batting just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Cubs have a winning percentage of just 38% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .369 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .815 (1,075 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .459 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Orioles hitters are slugging .458 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 41 double plays in 654 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 249 of 3,705 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 51 of 810 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Orioles vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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