- The Cubs are -110 favorites vs the Phillies
- Cubs vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Cubs / Phillies TV Channel: MARQ | NSPA
The Chicago Cubs (-110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-110) on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 40-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 31-34 ATS.
Cubs vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 4-2, 3.61 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Mick Abel 1-0, 0.79 ERA
Cubs vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -118 | -110 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -102 | -110 |
Cubs vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.90 Units / 170% ROI)
- Matt Shaw has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Max Kepler has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 64 games (+13.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 36 of their last 62 games (+8.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 60 games (+7.32 Units / 10% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 66 games (+9.24 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 62 games (+6.33 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.11 Units / 30% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 35-31 against the Run Line (+4.02 Units / 4.93% ROI).
- 40-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 9.31% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.75 Units / 5.23% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.7 Units / -13.19% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 31-34 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -7.08% ROI).
- 38-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.28% ROI
- 29-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -14.43% ROI
- 36-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 6% ROI
Phillies vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Phillies vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea (CHC) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Mick Abel (PHI) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Colin Rea had a strikeout rate of just 17% (50/285) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 37% (97/260) against Colin Rea in the 2024 season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 17th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (240/1,241) against Colin Rea in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Colin Rea walked 12 of 270 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mick Abel threw 60% of his pitches in the strike zone (47/78) in his last start — 3rd best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 52% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (5/42) against Mick Abel this month (1 game) — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Mick Abel has allowed an OBP of just .158 (19 PA’s) this month (1 game) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 98th Percentile.
Mick Abel has thrown 60% of his pitches in the strike zone (47/78) this month (1 game) — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Cubs are 48-13 (.787) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Cubs are 2-20 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .043.
The Cubs are 86-49 (.637) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
The Cubs are 22-3 (.880) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Phillies are 8-15 (.348) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Phillies are just 9-22 (.290) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies are 114-25 (.820) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .479 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 3% of their PA’s against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Cubs are batting .397 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Phillies hitters slugged .454 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Phillies are batting .263 against LHP since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Phillies are batting .406 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 5% of batters this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers walked 444 of 6,050 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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