- The Cubs are -130 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cubs vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Pirates TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT
The Chicago Cubs (-125) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+105) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 66-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 73-58 ATS.
Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 4-5, 3.07 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 5-6, 3.56 ERA
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -115 | -125 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -105 | +105 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 50 games (+31.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+22.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+21.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 41 games (+16.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+16.55 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+24.90 Units / 208% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 47 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 120 games (+7.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 away games (+4.45 Units / 11% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 92 games (+17.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 49 games at home (+5.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 87 games (+2.60 Units / 2% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 64-68 against the Run Line (-16.3 Units / -9.02% ROI).
- 66-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -1.48% ROI
- 59-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -10.97% ROI
- 68-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 2.17% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 73-58 against the Run Line (+12.21 Units / 7.2% ROI).
- 62-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -5.37% ROI
- 62-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -5.88% ROI
- 64-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.42 Units / -2.39% ROI
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Jared Jones (PIT) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,402/3,115) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 76% of the time (930/1,219) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 53% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .281 (118 Total Bases / 420 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed an OPS of just .540 (458 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 30% (79/261) against Jared Jones this season — tied for 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (235/734) against Jared Jones this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Jared Jones has an average fastball velocity of 97.3 MPH this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 93.7 — 98th Percentile.
Jared Jones has struck out 31% (58/189) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 96th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 8-112 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cubs are 29-7 (.806) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Cubs are 24-7 (.774) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .642.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 147-33 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Pirates are just 82-116 (.414) after a win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Pirates are just 6-37 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Pirates are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .288 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .375 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 64 double plays in 847 opportunities (8%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs hitters are slugging .447 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .154 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Pirates hitters have 50 extra-base hits out of 188 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .381 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 58 double plays in 920 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 104 of 1,169 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Cubs have allowed 3.60 runs per game (234/65) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,581 of 17,480 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Pirates pitchers this month (23 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed a run 34% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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