- The Cubs are -250 favorites vs the White Sox
- Cubs vs White Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cubs / White Sox TV Channel: FOX
The Chicago Cubs (-250) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+200) on Saturday, August 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cubs are 58-60 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 51-67 ATS.
Cubs vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 3-5, 3.33 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Chris Flexen 2-11, 5.56 ERA
Cubs vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | -2.5 +105 | O 9 -115 | -250 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -125 | U 9 -105 | +200 |
Cubs vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 78.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 47 games (+31.40 Units / 67% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 39 games (+21.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+20.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+18.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+28.30 Units / 566% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.75 Units / 65% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 106 games (+9.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.05 Units / 11% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 13% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 57-61 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -10% ROI).
- 58-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -1.7% ROI
- 52-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -12.46% ROI
- 62-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +5 Units / 3.86% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 51-67 against the Run Line (-22.75 Units / -16.06% ROI).
- 28-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -52.7 Units / -43.5% ROI
- 53-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -9.28% ROI
- 59-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 0.9% ROI
White Sox vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Luis Robert (CWS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
White Sox vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lenyn Sosa (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Andrew Vaughn (CWS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
White Sox vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
White Sox vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen (CWS) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Justin Steele (CHC) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,328/2,960) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (533/1,160) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (751/1,672) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 175 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (1,620/3,413) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .736 (67 Total Bases / 91 ABs) on inside fastballs since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .432 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (110 Total Bases / 198 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .410 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strikeout rate of just 33% (252 SO in 761 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 175 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .613 (211 Total Bases / 344 ABs) on fastballs since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .443 — second Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Cubs are 17-10 (.630) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Cubs are just 4-43 (.085) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cubs are just 50-49 (.505) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs are just 13-175 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The White Sox are just 24-29 (.453) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The White Sox are just 2-30 (.062) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The White Sox are just 14-16 (.467) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The White Sox are just 68-33 (.673) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .775 against LHP this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Cubs hitters have 15 strikeouts in 42 PA’s (36%) against LHP this month (7 games) — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Cubs are batting .278 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
The Cubs are batting .262 against LHP since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .282 (7,981 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (10,233 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 18% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 91 of 1,046 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.24 (533.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The White Sox have won just 10% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The White Sox have allowed 1.79 runs per game (211/118) in late innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
White Sox vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
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