- The Braves are -185 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Braves TV Channel: DBTV | FDSO | FDSE
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+150) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-185) on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 29-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 25-33 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly 5-2, 3.79 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 3-3, 3.08 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -115 | +150 |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -185 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+13.80 Units / 173% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.55 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 games (+19.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Walks Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Chris Sale has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.25 Units / 19% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 44 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.07 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 27-33 against the Run Line (-11.21 Units / -14.49% ROI).
- 29-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -12.87% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -4.67% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -4.2% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 25-33 against the Run Line (-7.72 Units / -11.27% ROI).
- 27-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.83 Units / -20.28% ROI
- 22-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.4 Units / -20.44% ROI
- 32-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +8 Units / 12.44% ROI
Braves vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 +100 |
| Merrill Kelly (ARI) | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Merrill Kelly has allowed an OBP of just .194 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (15/88) against Merrill Kelly this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has allowed a slugging percentage of .706 (24 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.
Merrill Kelly has thrown just 46% of his pitches in the strike zone (283/618) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 52% — seventh Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
16 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
48 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since last season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
32 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in the 2024 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (32/81) against Chris Sale on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Diamondbacks are 59-50 (.541) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Diamondbacks are just 174-14 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 22-7 (.759) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .865.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Braves are just 10-59 (.145) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .192.
The Braves are 105-87 (.547) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Braves were 35-31 (.530) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (4,292 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .347 (3,080 PA’s) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .469 against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .330 (10,380 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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