- The Diamondbacks are -105 favorites vs the Cubs
- Diamondbacks vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Cubs TV Channel: DBTV | MARQ
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-102) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-118) on Saturday, April 19, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 12-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 12-10 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 1-2, 4.57 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 2-1, 5.10 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -105 | -102 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -115 | -118 |
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+20.30 Units / 254% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+17.45 Units / 87% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.90 Units / 215% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 39% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 92 of their last 162 games (+24.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 84 away games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 away games (+13.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 84 away games (+12.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 50 of their last 84 away games (+10.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games at home (+14.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 18 games (+11.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 84 games at home (+5.25 Units / 6% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 11-9 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 16.52% ROI).
- 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 6.99% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.68% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -9.73% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 12-10 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 8.66% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 15.69% ROI
- 14-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 27.64% ROI
- 7-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.65 Units / -35.02% ROI
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Ben Brown (CHC) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 48% (33/68) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.
Zac Gallen allowed a batting average of just .111 vs right-handed batters (fourth best)– 96th Percentile and .319 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth worst among qualified SPs)– 10th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .323 (175 Total Bases / 542 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 96th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (26/75) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (118/303) this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (41/89) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Diamondbacks are 1-8 (.111) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Diamondbacks are 3-8 (.273) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .070.
The Diamondbacks are 3-8 (.273) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Diamondbacks were 13-51 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cubs are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Cubs are 35-11 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Cubs are 52-35 (.598) after a loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Cubs are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .070.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 10% of it’s PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Diamondbacks have scored 2.55 runs per game (51/20) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.38.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .346 (1,983 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .524 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .370.
The Cubs have scored 45 runs in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd most in MLB.
The Cubs are batting .296 versus relief pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
The Cubs have scored 57 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 41% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs pitchers had an ERA of 3.08 (733.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Cubs pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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