- The Diamondbacks are -115 favorites vs the Mets
- Diamondbacks vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Mets TV Channel: DBTV | SNY | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-105) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 15-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 17-13 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-1, 4.10 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 3-1, 1.26 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -110 | -115 |
| Mets | +1.5 -180 | U 8.5 -110 | -105 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+15.40 Units / 257% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.30 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+17.60 Units / 176% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+14.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games at home (+11.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 14-15 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -3.65% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -5.6% ROI
- 16-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 15.93% ROI
- 10-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.85 Units / -24.45% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 17-13 against the Run Line (+5 Units / 13.19% ROI).
- 21-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.7 Units / 18.85% ROI
- 11-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -27.04% ROI
- 18-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 17.63% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 70% of the time (354/505) since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 59% of the time (156/262) in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 68% of the time (158/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 66% of the time (333/505) since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .068 (3-for-44) against Kodai Senga’s non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Kodai Senga had a strike rate of just 61% (1,699/2,795) in 2023 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Kodai Senga allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (54 Total Bases / 324 ABs) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Diamondbacks are just 9-3 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Diamondbacks are 12-66 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Diamondbacks are 3-11 (.214) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .080.
The Diamondbacks are just 146-21 (.874) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Mets are 6-0 (1.000) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Diamondbacks (first best runs scored) today.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 8-1 (.889) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 14% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Diamondbacks hitters had an OBP of .346 (1,983 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have a winning percentage of 93% at home since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Mets have a winning percentage of 93% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .329 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Diamondbacks pitchers have 36 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 5th fewest in MLB.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Mets pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 3.09 (140.0 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.
More MLB Reading:
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