- The Diamondbacks are -110 favorites vs the Reds
- Diamondbacks vs Reds Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Reds TV Channel: ATV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-110) on Saturday, June 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH, OH.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 31-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 33-29 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 2-1, 3.40 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 3-6, 3.94 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +145 | O 9.5 -120 | -110 |
| Reds | +1.5 -175 | U 9.5 +100 | -110 |
Diamondbacks vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+16.80 Units / 168% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 away games (+13.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gabriel Moreno has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+17.75 Units / 197% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt McLain has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.95 Units / 53% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 46 games (+12.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+4.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 40 games (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+3.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 29-33 against the Run Line (-9.21 Units / -11.47% ROI).
- 31-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -9.23% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 29-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -4.21% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 33-29 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -1.85% ROI).
- 30-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -9.12% ROI
- 25-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -22.08% ROI
- 37-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.55 Units / 13.69% ROI
Reds vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -220 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Elly De La Cruz (CIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Reds vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinez (CIN) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (87/170) of the time this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (23/132) against Ryne Nelson this season — 13th lowest among among 105 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 26% — 12th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (91/292) against Ryne Nelson since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .147 (11 GB hits out of 75 GBs) against Ryne Nelson with runners on base in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 99th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Martinez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.6 MPH against his fastballs since the 2023 season (380 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 153 total IP; League Avg: 90.9
Opponents had a groundball rate of 74% (32/43) against Nick Martinez’s curve and slider in 2023 — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Nick Martinez has struck out just 14% (23/159) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .444 (8-for-18) against Nick Martinez when going through the lineup the second time in a game in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .248 — second Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Diamondbacks are 8-6 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Reds (14th best runs allowed) today.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 23-141 (.139) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Diamondbacks are 25-7 (.781) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Reds are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .137.
The Reds were just 5-16 (.238) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-18 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 6-86 (.065) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .779 (8,682 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Diamondbacks are batting .274 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged .315 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters are slugging just .171 on pitches out of the zone since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Reds batted just .116 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
The Reds are batting just .222 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Reds are batting just .120 on pitches out of the zone since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .149.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 47% of the time since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Reds pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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