- The Diamondbacks are +100 favorites vs the Yankees
- Diamondbacks vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | Max | YES | DBTV
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-102) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-118) on Tuesday, April 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 3-0 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Diamondbacks | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -118 | -102 |
Yankees | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -102 | -118 |
Diamondbacks vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Pavin Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.30 Units / 170% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+14.50 Units / 483% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 20 games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+3.55 Units / 118% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+16.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 away games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 22.09% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -27.78% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 3-0 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 138.33% ROI).
- 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 65.93% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 29.69% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -36.76% ROI
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -295 |
Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Corbin Burnes (ARI) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Will Warren (NYY) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 69% of the time (326/470) since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .200 (141-for-704) against Corbin Burnes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 97th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Will Warren has limited playing time.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Diamondbacks are 42-44 (.488) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .374.
The Diamondbacks were 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Diamondbacks are 134-34 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Orioles (16th best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Yankees are 82-23 (.781) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are just 8-119 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of 1.255 (85 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Diamondbacks are batting .278 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .488 (85 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 43% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .804 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.231 (124 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Yankees hitters are slugging .614 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 56% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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