Diamondbacks vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 1

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  • The Diamondbacks are +100 favorites vs the Yankees
  • Diamondbacks vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Yankees TV Channel: TBS | Max | YES | DBTV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-102) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-118) on Tuesday, April 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 2-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 3-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Will Warren 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +165O 8.5 -118-102
Yankees +1.5 -200U 8.5 -102-118

Diamondbacks vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Pavin Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.30 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+14.50 Units / 483% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+4.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 20 games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+3.55 Units / 118% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 106 games (+32.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 105 games (+16.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+16.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 away games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 away games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 69 of their last 119 games (+19.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 75 of their last 142 games (+12.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 31 games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 2-2 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 9.09% ROI).

  • 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 22.09% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -27.78% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 3-0 against the Run Line (+4.15 Units / 138.33% ROI).

  • 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 65.93% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 29.69% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -36.76% ROI

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +240 0.5 -295
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Josh Naylor (ARI) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Yankees vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235
Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corbin Burnes (ARI) 5.5 +100 5.5 -130
Will Warren (NYY) 4.5 +110 4.5 -140

Corbin Burnes located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 69% of the time (326/470) since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .200 (141-for-704) against Corbin Burnes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 97th Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 75% of the time (175/234) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Will Warren has limited playing time.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Diamondbacks are 42-44 (.488) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .374.

The Diamondbacks were 20-17 (.541) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Diamondbacks are 134-34 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Orioles (16th best runs allowed) today.

The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Yankees are 82-23 (.781) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Yankees are just 8-119 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of 1.255 (85 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.

The Diamondbacks are batting .278 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .488 (85 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 43% against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Yankees hitters are slugging .804 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.231 (124 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Yankees hitters are slugging .614 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .274.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 56% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.