- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Astros TV Channel: ATV+
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Friday, July 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Dodgers are 62-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 53-49 ATS.
Dodgers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 9-3, 3.19 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 8-5, 3.63 ERA
Dodgers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -115 | +105 |
| Astros | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -105 | -125 |
Dodgers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+16.10 Units / 179% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+23.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 19 games (+21.50 Units / 113% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+15.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+14.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 47 games (+14.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 away games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+17.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+13.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+10.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+9.30 Units / 48% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 51-53 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -5.35% ROI).
- 62-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -5.83% ROI
- 53-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -1.79% ROI
- 50-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -7.11% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 53-49 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 3.47% ROI).
- 53-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -6.51% ROI
- 41-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.3 Units / -19.94% ROI
- 58-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.05 Units / 11.57% ROI
Astros vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Astros vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Stone has walked 8 of 225 right-handed batters (4%) this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 94th Percentile.
Gavin Stone allowed a batting average of just .192 versus the heart of the order (eighth best)– 90th Percentile and .280 versus other batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– second Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 12% (11 SO in 92 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 10% (12 SO in 123 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (185/298) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (936/1,996) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (160/256) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 75% (55/73) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 52-24 (.684) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 269-128 (.678) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Astros are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Astros are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 107-70 (.605) after a loss since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Astros are 200-20 (.909) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (7,413 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (11,922 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 293 walks in 2,886 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (10,357 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 838 strikeouts in 4,747 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,436/10,115 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,277/16,169 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
16% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (616/3,862 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 35 of 282 batters (12%) over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have walked 18 of 167 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (19 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers since the 2022 season is 393.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4
Astros vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
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