- The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Braves
- Dodgers vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Braves TV Channel: SNLA | FDSO | FDSE | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+145) on Friday, May 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Dodgers are 21-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 14-16 ATS.
Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3-2, 1.08 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 2-1, 4.50 ERA
Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -110 | O 9 -110 | -175 |
| Braves | +1.5 -110 | U 9 -110 | +145 |
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+21.10 Units / 352% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.15 Units / 61% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sean Murphy has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+15.10 Units / 216% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+3.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 16-14 against the Run Line (+2 Units / 5.41% ROI).
- 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 8.56% ROI
- 18-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 12.21% ROI
- 13-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -18.86% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 14-16 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -7.07% ROI).
- 14-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -18.03% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.9% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -6.88% ROI
Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (49/78) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a strikeout rate of 33% (43 SO in 132 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 81% (33/41) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has struck out 33% (22/67) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Grant Holmes allowed a batting average of .350 vs right-handed batters (eighth worst)– 10th Percentile and just .091 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for second best among qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .706 (12 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Grant Holmes has walked 18% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Grant Holmes has allowed a .850 SLG vs right-handed batters (worst)– first Percentile and just .091 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (second best among qualified SPs)– 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 184-33 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 120-60 (.667) at home since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Dodgers are 27-14 (.659) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 5-10 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Braves are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .883.
The Braves are 4-12 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Braves are just 0-14 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .038.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (7,433 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .658 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 45% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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