- The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) on Saturday, May 10, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Dodgers are 26-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 19-20 ATS.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May 1-2, 4.37 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 1-1, 3.62 ERA
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | O 9.5 -120 | -120 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -165 | U 9.5 +100 | +100 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+16.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 58% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+12.50 Units / 139% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+14.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.30 Units / 91% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.20 Units / 60% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games at home (+4.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games (+4.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.05 Units / 23% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 20-18 against the Run Line (+1.5 Units / 3.17% ROI).
- 26-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 6.67% ROI
- 22-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 9% ROI
- 17-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -15.7% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 19-20 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -6.45% ROI).
- 20-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -3.01% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -4.76% ROI
- 18-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -4.57% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (ARI) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
| Dustin May (LAD) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dustin May has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (74/138) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Dustin May has allowed a slugging percentage of just .125 (3 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .417 — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Dustin May’s non-fastballs (80/208) this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 47% — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (33/56) against Dustin May this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 95th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has a in-zone of just 1% (10/1,030) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3% — fourth Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 67% of the time (344/517) since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes threw fastballs down 68% of the time (158/234) in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes had second base stolen on him 39 times in the 2024 season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 27-14 (.659) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 188-34 (.847) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 1-10 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 16-4 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Diamondbacks are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are 150-36 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks are 10-8 (.556) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.364 (50 PA’s) against LHP this month (7 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .801 (2,137 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .674 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .278 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 16% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks have scored 1.78 runs per game (357/201) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.31.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 3.49 (743.0 IP) at home in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
The Dodgers allowed 3.86 runs per game (313/81) at home in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.64.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have an ERA of 8.50 (18.0 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
More MLB Reading:
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