- The Dodgers are -140 favorites vs the Guardians
- Dodgers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+105) on Tuesday, May 27, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Dodgers are 33-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 27-26 ATS.
Dodgers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May 2-4, 4.09 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-4, 3.61 ERA
Dodgers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +130 | O 8.5 -105 | -125 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -115 | +105 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Naylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+8.60 Units / 123% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.25 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.50 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+2.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 44 games (+8.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.20 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.59 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 26-27 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -2.32% ROI).
- 33-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -2.39% ROI
- 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 7.06% ROI
- 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -14.07% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 27-26 against the Run Line (-3.2 Units / -4.24% ROI).
- 29-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 9.01% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -6.7% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.68% ROI
Guardians vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Guardians vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Dustin May (LAD) | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dustin May has allowed a slugging percentage of just .077 (2 Total Bases / 26 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .387 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (20/99) against Dustin May with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 30% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .056 (1-for-18) against Dustin May with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .108 (10-for-93) against Dustin May with two-strikes this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .171 — 95th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has picked-off 5 runners since last season — tied for most among among AL Starters — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% (167/473) against Tanner Bibee in the 2024 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents batted .398 (35-for-88) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 27% (40/150) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 194-36 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Dodgers are 27-14 (.659) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 19-5 (.792) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 95-3 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Guardians are 25-5 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 18-8 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .466 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .471 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .291 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 63% with two-strikes since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
The Dodgers have won 48% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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