- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Guardians
- Dodgers vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Guardians TV Channel: GDTV | SNLA | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (+135) on Wednesday, May 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Dodgers are 34-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 27-27 ATS.
Dodgers vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 0-0, 7.51 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 1-1, 3.28 ERA
Dodgers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -115 | -160 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -125 | U 9 -105 | +135 |
Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+15.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.45 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Naylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.25 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+7.60 Units / 95% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.60 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+3.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.25 Units / 20% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 45 games (+7.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+7.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.59 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-27 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.3% ROI).
- 34-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -1.4% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 8.6% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.5 Units / -15.7% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 27-27 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -6.1% ROI).
- 29-25 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 7.24% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -4.87% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -2.57% ROI
Guardians vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Guardians vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Clayton Kershaw (LAD) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw threw his slider 59% of the time (219/372) when behind in the count in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw had a strikeout rate of 35% (37/106) with runners in scoring position in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of 61% (537/877) against Clayton Kershaw on sliders in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw had a strike rate of 72% (629/877) on sliders in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi has a in-zone of 56% (819/1,452) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 98th Percentile.
Slade Cecconi had an ERA of 6.66 (77.0 IP)in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 3.97 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .345 (29 GB hits out of 84 GBs) against Slade Cecconi in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has an ERA of 6.24 (88.0 IP)since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 3.93 — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Dodgers are 194-36 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Guardians are 95-3 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Guardians are 101-2 (.981) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (10,609 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .457 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters struck out just 791 times in 4,186 PA’s (19%) against RHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 54% in righty-righty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Dodgers have won 42% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Guardians pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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