- The Dodgers are -120 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: ATV
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Friday, May 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Dodgers are 31-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 25-25 ATS.
Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Clayton Kershaw 0-0, 11.26 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Griffin Canning 5-1, 2.49 ERA
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 -102 | -120 |
| Mets | +1.5 -170 | U 8.5 -118 | +100 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+13.35 Units / 148% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.45 Units / 76% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.15 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+30.40 Units / 608% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games (+10.89 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 24-25 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -3.47% ROI).
- 31-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -2.31% ROI
- 28-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.45 Units / 8.09% ROI
- 22-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -14.82% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 25-25 against the Run Line (+1.64 Units / 2.63% ROI).
- 30-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 3.32% ROI
- 17-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.35 Units / -31.4% ROI
- 31-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.15 Units / 22.19% ROI
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning (NYM) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Clayton Kershaw (LAD) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Clayton Kershaw threw his slider 59% of the time (219/372) when behind in the count in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .217 against Clayton Kershaw (13-for-60) when he was behind in the count in 2023 — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 100th Percentile.
Clayton Kershaw had a strike rate of 72% (629/877) on sliders in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .262 (54-for-206) against Clayton Kershaw in non-two strike counts in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (147 Total Bases / 262 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Griffin Canning had a strikeout rate of just 13% (17/132) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Griffin Canning allowed a slugging percentage of .362 (121 Total Bases / 334 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — fifth Percentile.
Griffin Canning has thrown his fastball for a strike just 59% (829/1,393) of the time since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 68% — second Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 193-35 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 27-14 (.659) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 4-2 (.667) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Dodgers (13th best runs allowed) today.
The Mets are 12-8 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .453 since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .803 (2,254 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (14,518 PA’s) since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (10,457 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .167 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .810 (615 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .224 with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .189 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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