- The Dodgers are -115 favorites vs the Padres
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: ESPN | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the San Diego Padres (-105) on Thursday, February 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Peoria, AZ.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this Spring Training game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Dodgers vs Padres Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
Last season, the Dodgers were 100-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres were 81-81 ATS.
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | O 10 -105 | -115 |
| Padres | +1.5 -150 | U 10 -115 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.20 Units / 105% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+4.65 Units / 60% ROI)
- Austin Nola has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.45 Units / 74% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Taylor Kohlwey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 68% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 away games (+20.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Dodgers went 91-74 against the Run Line (+19.45 Units / 9.89% ROI).
- 100-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.04% ROI
- 90-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.15 Units / 8.32% ROI
- 68-90 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.15 Units / -16.65% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread last MLB season, the Padres went 81-81 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -2.96% ROI).
- 82-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.75 Units / -11.1% ROI
- 66-86 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.75 Units / -16.5% ROI
- 86-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.45 Units / 8.19% ROI
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 41-16 (.719) after a road loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Dodgers are 185-29 (.864) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Dodgers were 44-17 (.721) after a loss in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Dodgers were 85-9 (.904) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Padres were just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Padres are 48-7 (.873) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Padres are just 14-28 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 68% at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .776 (1,953 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Dodgers hitters had an OPS of .795 (6,333 PA’s) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers have won 51% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,898 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 37% against the Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .197 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
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