- The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Padres
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: SNLA | ESPN+ | PDTV
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+145) on Friday, May 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 26-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 21-19 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 6-1, 2.70 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 3-3, 4.32 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -105 | O 7.5 -105 | -175 |
| Padres | +1.5 -115 | U 7.5 -115 | +145 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+14.40 Units / 240% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+11.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 70% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 32 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+20.90 Units / 190% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+14.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 away games (+17.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 away games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 21-18 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 1.96% ROI).
- 26-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 21-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 6% ROI
- 17-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -14.06% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 21-19 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 9% ROI).
- 20-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 21-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 3.2% ROI
- 18-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -11.74% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .090 (6-for-67) against Tyler Glasnow when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 59% (63 SO in 107 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 59% (27 SO in 46 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 42% (17 SO in 40 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.292 (31 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .410 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .258 (39-for-151) against Michael King’s elevated fastball since the 2022 season — 12th highest among among 111 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .205 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 35% (179/505) against Michael King in non-two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Michael King has recorded 10 of his 16 strikeouts (62%) vs left-handed batters with his changeup this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 213-34 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 46-16 (.742) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 29-9 (.763) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are just 5-17 (.227) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Padres are just 4-145 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Padres are just 4-78 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Padres are just 7-136 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .794 (10,002 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .342 (10,002 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .358 (966 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .354 (1,536 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Padres are batting .260 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Padres are batting .285 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 5 of 205 batters (2%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers have won 46% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .198 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .230.
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since last season (4,847 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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