- The Padres are -150 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: FS1
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+130) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on Tuesday, October 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:08pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 99-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 85-81 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-6, 5.31 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 14-9, 2.85 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 +100 | +130 |
| Padres | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -120 | -155 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+21.50 Units / 358% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Walks Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 37 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 41 games (+29.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 41 games (+16.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.95 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 49 games (+14.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 52 of their last 82 games (+23.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 54 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 54 away games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 89 games (+23.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 134 games (+9.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 88 games (+7.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 81-83 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -3.62% ROI).
- 99-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.95 Units / -2.81% ROI
- 91-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.15 Units / 8.96% ROI
- 68-91 when betting on the total runs Under for -32.15 Units / -17.77% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 85-81 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 3.09% ROI).
- 96-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.65 Units / 5.16% ROI
- 86-76 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 1.57% ROI
- 76-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.2 Units / -10.45% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| Michael King (SD) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has allowed an OPS of .862 (344 PA’s) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .709 — fifth Percentile.
Walker Buehler has a strikeout rate of just 5% (1 SO in 20 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of .356 (343 PA’s) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .306 — fifth Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .506 (156 Total Bases / 308 ABs) this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .403 — fifth Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH since last season (702 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 89.0
Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.6 MPH (439 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.6 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 36% (90/249) against Michael King when he’s behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 21% (82/394) against Michael King on non-fastballs since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 81-51 (.614) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .436.
The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 55-36 (.604) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 19-47 (.288) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Padres are 95-69 (.579) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 28-20 (.583) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 69-6 (.920) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (9,041 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.033 (183 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .676.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 278 strikeouts in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 1,027 strikeouts in 5,183 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 2,388 strikeouts in 12,283 PA’s (19%) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .275 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (2216.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.59 (4343.1 IP) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (7,878 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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