- The Dodgers are -130 favorites vs the Phillies
- Dodgers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Phillies TV Channel: ATV
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-130) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+110) on Friday, April 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 8-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 5-1 ATS.
Dodgers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1-0, 2.70 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 1-0, 3.60 ERA
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -110 | -130 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -110 | +110 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+29.40 Units / 420% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+17.05 Units / 85% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 74% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+9.20 Units / 153% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.15 Units / 102% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games (+6.10 Units / 152% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Edmundo Sosa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 107% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 96 games (+29.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games (+15.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 68 games (+13.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 73 games at home (+14.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 107 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+10.63 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 6-2 against the Run Line (+4.6 Units / 54.44% ROI).
- 8-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 55.36% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 22.54% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -26.82% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 5-1 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 60.28% ROI).
- 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 28.13% ROI
- 2-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -35.82% ROI
- 4-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 29.23% ROI
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (16/24) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has struck out 40% (8/20) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OPS of just .512 (200 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .720 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (28/73) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jesus Luzardo has a strikeout rate of 50% (11 SO in 22 PAs) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 75% (12/16) against Jesus Luzardo on breaking pitches this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (267/531) against Jesus Luzardo on breaking pitches since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 21% (97/456) versus Jesus Luzardo in 2023 — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 91st Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 175-29 (.858) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers are 19-99 (.161) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are 106-59 (.642) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Phillies were 28-22 (.560) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies are 164-39 (.808) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting .583 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .643 (14 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (9,236 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.063 (103 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.304 (72 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .671.
Phillies hitters had an OPS of 1.304 (72 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days of the regular season (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
Phillies hitters are slugging .656 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 1.97 (73.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 36 of 304 batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 38% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Phillies have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Phillies won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
More MLB Reading:
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