- The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Reds
- Dodgers vs Reds Over / Under today: 10 Runs
- Dodgers / Reds TV Channel: SNLA | BSOH
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Dodgers are 33-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 27-23 ATS.
Dodgers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 5-0, 2.87 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft 3-3, 4.29 ERA
Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 10 -105 | -155 |
| Reds | +1.5 -120 | U 10 -115 | +125 |
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 63.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 45 games (+17.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 36 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.45 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 40 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 42 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 22 games at home (+15.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in their last 10 games at home (+10.10 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+5.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-25 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -1.89% ROI).
- 33-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -3.43% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 1.5% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -10.11% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 27-23 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 1.99% ROI).
- 20-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -19.25% ROI
- 24-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -5.33% ROI
- 24-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -4.84% ROI
Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jonathan India (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Santiago Espinal (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jeimer Candelario (CIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Graham Ashcraft (CIN) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has walked 22 of 151 right-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of just 25% (24 SO in 97 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 12 of 72 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 9 of 41 batters (22%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Graham Ashcraft has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (119/214) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (208/417) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .302 (29-for-96) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 10th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has struck out just 17% (18/105) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 220-37 (.856) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 48-16 (.750) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 31-9 (.775) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Dodgers are 120-17 (.876) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 56-43 (.566) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Reds are just 24-27 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Reds are just 45-19 (.703) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Reds are just 46-52 (.469) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have not struck out in 12 PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 21 walks in 169 PA’s (12%) against LHP this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (10,434 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (10,434 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .124 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .641 (1,208 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Reds hitters have 333 strikeouts in 1,208 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .280 (1,208 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (3366.0 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .296 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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