- The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Tigers TV Channel: SNLA | BSDT
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on Friday, July 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Dodgers are 55-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 45-49 ATS.
Dodgers vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 7-2, 4.30 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 10-3, 2.37 ERA
Dodgers vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -110 | +110 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -110 | -135 |
Dodgers vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+13.75 Units / 92% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.45 Units / 79% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Walks Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 39 games (+12.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games at home (+26.20 Units / 175% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.50 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 away games (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.25 Units / 2% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 77 games (+10.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+7.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.85 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 42% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 46-48 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -7.96% ROI).
- 55-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -7.89% ROI
- 48-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -1.4% ROI
- 45-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.7 Units / -7.42% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 45-49 against the Run Line (-9.3 Units / -7.35% ROI).
- 45-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.65 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 6.67% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -16 Units / -16.01% ROI
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has walked 38 of 293 right-handed batters (13%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 22 of 138 batters (16%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has a strike rate of just 55% (144/263) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has a strike rate of just 60% (705/1,169) against right-handed batters this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .191 (162 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .117 (11-for-94) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (22-for-153) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 1 of 77 batters (1%) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Dodgers are 51-23 (.689) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 100-50 (.667) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Dodgers are 263-126 (.676) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Dodgers are 207-14 (.937) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 8-13 (.381) after a home win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Tigers are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Tigers are 49-20 (.710) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (11,655 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .783 (11,655 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 266 walks in 2,619 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .642 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,781 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (11,781 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .362 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (1906.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 7.04 (78.0 IP) this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 249 of 3,478 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Tigers vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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