- The Cubs are -150 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Giants / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Monday, May 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Giants are 22-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 19-16 ATS.
Giants vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 2-2, 5.16 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd 2-2, 2.68 ERA
Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -118 | +135 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -102 | -160 |
Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.10 Units / 73% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.10 Units / 253% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+14.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+12.50 Units / 250% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.25 Units / 36% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+6.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+5.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 away games (+3.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 15 away games (+2.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 31 games (+18.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+17.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 17-18 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.33% ROI).
- 22-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 10.96% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.65 Units / 8.12% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -14.08% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 19-16 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 10.07% ROI).
- 21-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 13.09% ROI
- 20-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 11.5% ROI
- 13-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -16.94% ROI
Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Landen Roupp (SF) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Matthew Boyd (CHC) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Landen Roupp threw his curveball 37% of the time (80/214) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 37% (175/470) against Landen Roupp in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Landen Roupp has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (220/531) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a swing rate of just 37% (175/470) against Landen Roupp in the 2024 season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (38/114) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has allowed an OBP of .338 (74 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .246 (16-for-65) against Matthew Boyd with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .165 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (15-for-51) against Matthew Boyd when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 12th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .082.
The Giants are 149-5 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 1-12 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Giants are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are 10-3 (.769) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Cubs are 12-7 (.632) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Cubs are 1-11 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Cubs are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .299 (4,384 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .695 (9,615 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Giants are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters are slugging .513 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .373.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .879 (341 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .836 (773 PA’s) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .686.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cubs pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,126 opportunities (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
More MLB Reading:
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