- The Cubs are -155 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-155) on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL, IL.
This season, the Giants are 22-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 20-16 ATS.
Giants vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 0-2, 4.34 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Colin Rea 2-0, 1.46 ERA
Giants vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -102 | +125 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -118 | -155 |
Giants vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luis Matos has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.95 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+17.90 Units / 256% ROI)
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+4.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 32 games (+19.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 34 games (+18.25 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 17-19 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -2.91% ROI).
- 22-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 8.81% ROI
- 21-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 9.69% ROI
- 14-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -15.8% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 20-16 against the Run Line (+5.7 Units / 12.75% ROI).
- 22-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 14.81% ROI
- 21-13 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 13.16% ROI
- 13-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.55 Units / -18.7% ROI
Cubs vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
Cubs vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Carson Kelly (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Kyle Tucker (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander (SF) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Colin Rea (CHC) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .398 (33 GB hits out of 83 GBs) against Justin Verlander in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (47/135) versus Justin Verlander on non-fastballs in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .393 (11-for-28) against Justin Verlander with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.
Justin Verlander has walked 14% of left-handed batters this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 19% (240/1,241) against Colin Rea in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Colin Rea had a strikeout rate of just 17% (50/285) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Opponents batted .278 (72-for-259) against Colin Rea when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — eighth Percentile.
Colin Rea allowed a slugging percentage of .447 (293 Total Bases / 656 ABs) in the 2024 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — eighth Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Giants are 3-10 (.231) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .082.
The Giants are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Giants were just 20-24 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
The Giants are 5-3 (.625) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Cubs (12th best runs scored) today.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cubs are 10-3 (.769) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .501.
The Cubs are 12-7 (.632) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Cubs are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .123.
The Cubs are 80-49 (.620) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Giants (17th best runs scored) today.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .307 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .232 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Giants are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .513 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .372.
Cubs hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .879 (341 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .681.
Cubs hitters are slugging .497 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .378.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 45% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Batters facing the Cubs pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Cubs pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,126 opportunities (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Cubs pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Giants vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
