- The Guardians are -175 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Giants / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSBA | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (+150) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-185) on Friday, July 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Giants are 43-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 47-38 ATS.
Giants vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 7-2, 3.50 ERA
Giants vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -115 | +150 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -105 | -185 |
Giants vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games (+4.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 85 games (+17.62 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 85 games (+17.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 71 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 85 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games at home (+12.25 Units / 32% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 43-45 against the Run Line (-5.95 Units / -5.1% ROI).
- 43-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -5.93% ROI
- 48-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.7 Units / 8.01% ROI
- 37-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.15 Units / -16.56% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-38 against the Run Line (+14.3 Units / 13.88% ROI).
- 54-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.62 Units / 15.77% ROI
- 42-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.22% ROI
- 37-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -9.68% ROI
Guardians vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Guardians vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Luis Matos (SF) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Guardians vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Guardians vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erik Miller has recorded 11 of his 22 strikeouts (50%) against right-handed batters with his changeup this season — tied for highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 10% (7/68) against Erik Miller this season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (42/68) against Erik Miller this season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (12/94) against Erik Miller this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of just 12% (5/40) against Tanner Bibee when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 35% (54 SO in 153 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .164 (35-for-213) against Tanner Bibee’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (26-for-143) against Tanner Bibee when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 94th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Giants are 19-107 (.151) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Giants are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Giants are 4-37 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Giants are 53-8 (.869) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Guardians are 28-10 (.737) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Guardians are 41-1 (.976) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Guardians are 9-13 (.409) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of .338 (980 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Giants hitters have 1,136 strikeouts in 4,702 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging .474 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Giants are batting .267 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,002 strikeouts in 10,984 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,207 strikeouts in 6,400 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 46 of 780 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (65/85) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.27.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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