Giants vs Marlins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 15

min read
Miami Marlins' Luis Arraez flies out during the first inning of a baseball game against the Toronto Blue Jays, Wednesday, June 21, 2023, in Miami.
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 15, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Giants are -120 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Giants vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Marlins TV Channel: NSBA | BSFL

The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+100) on Monday, April 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.

This season, the Giants are 6-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 4-11 ATS.

Giants vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 1-1, 4.86 ERA
  • Marlins starting pitcher: A.J. Puk 0-3, 6.10 ERA

Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +140O 8.5 -105-120
Marlins +1.5 -165U 8.5 -115+100

Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 6-9 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -25.56% ROI).

  • 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -27.11% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 16.36% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -24.04% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 4-11 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -53% ROI).

  • 3-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -53.39% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 15.55% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.85 Units / -23.19% ROI

Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Bell (MIA) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Avisail Garcia (MIA) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Emmanuel Rivera (MIA) 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400

Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tim Anderson (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Josh Bell (MIA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Emmanuel Rivera (MIA) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Jazz Chisholm (MIA) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Josh Bell (MIA) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Tim Anderson (MIA) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Luis Arraez (MIA) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Harrison (SF) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 60% of the time (47/78) with two-strikes this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (88/178) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (15/47) against Kyle Harrison this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has walked 3 of 68 batters (4%) this season — 5th best among in NL; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a miss rate of 49% (34/70) against A.J. Puk on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: 30% — 98th Percentile.

A.J. Puk’s K:BB ratio was 14.5 (29/2) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best among in NL; League Avg: 2.4 — 98th Percentile.

A.J. Puk has walked 14 of 58 batters (24%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

A.J. Puk has walked 12 of 47 right-handed batters (26%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Giants are 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants are 32-35 (.478) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants are 25-14 (.641) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Marlins were 54-8 (.871) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .781.

The Marlins are just 107-27 (.799) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.

The Marlins were 24-3 (.889) when they had 5 or more XBH in 2023 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Marlins are 13-153 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Giants are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.

Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Giants hitters are slugging just .277 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .442 (179 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 472.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 439.8

Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
  • Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.