- The Giants are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
- Giants vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Giants / Marlins TV Channel: NSBA | BSFL
The San Francisco Giants (-140) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+115) on Tuesday, April 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Giants are 7-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 5-12 ATS.
Giants vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 2-0, 1.00 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 1-1, 2.51 ERA
Giants vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -110 | -140 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -110 | +115 |
Giants vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.75 Units / 63% ROI)
- Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.35 Units / 92% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.35 Units / 69% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games at home (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games at home (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.64 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+4.19 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 6-11 against the Run Line (-7.1 Units / -32.35% ROI).
- 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -24.94% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 13.82% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -21.58% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 5-12 against the Run Line (-10.5 Units / -47.51% ROI).
- 3-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -58.42% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.45 Units / 13.17% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -21.01% ROI
Marlins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tom Murphy (SF) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Marlins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tim Anderson (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tom Murphy (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks (SF) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Hicks has allowed an OBP of just .088 (34 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 424 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has allowed an OPS of just .206 (34 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .665 — 98th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks has thrown 564 fastballs at 100+ MPH since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 22% (13/60) against Ryan Weathers on sliders this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 47% — third Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 60% (807/1,346) since last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 45% (27/60) on sliders this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strike rate of just 54% (38/71) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 68% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 44-7 (.863) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Giants are just 19-34 (.358) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are 9-6 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 107-28 (.793) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Marlins are 13-154 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Marlins were 54-8 (.871) when they scored 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Marlins are just 23-78 (.228) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters are slugging just .401 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .297 (3,029 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Marlins hitters have chased 50% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.87 (102.2 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Marlins pitchers have walked 82 of 693 batters (12%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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