- The Giants are -102 favorites vs the Nationals
- Giants vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (-102) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-118) on Friday, May 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Giants are 29-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 26-24 ATS.
Giants vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Landen Roupp 2-3, 4.14 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-4, 3.72 ERA
Giants vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -115 | -102 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -105 | -118 |
Giants vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 away games (+15.05 Units / 215% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Landen Roupp has hit the Hits Allowed Over in his last 8 games (+8.45 Units / 88% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+10.10 Units / 126% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+7.85 Units / 196% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+3.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 48 games (+3.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.97 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+7.30 Units / 104% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.61 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+6.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.14 Units / 18% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 24-26 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -1.87% ROI).
- 29-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 4.71% ROI
- 27-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 5.83% ROI
- 22-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -14.75% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 26-24 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -2.9% ROI).
- 23-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.83 Units / 1.58% ROI
- 24-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -3.58% ROI
- 24-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -4.59% ROI
Nationals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Nationals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Nationals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 6.5 -160 | 6.5 +125 |
| Landen Roupp (SF) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Landen Roupp threw his curveball 37% of the time (80/214) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Landen Roupp has thrown his curveball 42% of the time (326/775) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Landen Roupp has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (82/199) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Landen Roupp has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (199/420) with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (141/473) versus MacKenzie Gore in the 2024 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 36% (84 SO in 236 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 39% (35 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 39% (35 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Giants are 8-6 (.571) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Nationals (25th best runs scored) today.
The Giants are 4-17 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Giants are 155-5 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are 26-155 (.144) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals were just 27-44 (.380) after a win in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Nationals are just 52-87 (.374) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Giants (17th best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 157-182 (.462) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .697 (10,017 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Giants are just 43-66 (.394) against the run line (-24.7% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Nationals (25th best runs scored) today.
Giants hitters had an OBP of just .299 (4,384 PA’s) against RHP in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Giants are batting just .148 on pitches 95 mph or greater over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play against LHP since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .313 against Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
More MLB Reading:
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