Giants vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 17

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Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 17, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Giants are -115 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Giants vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Giants / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | NSBA

The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-105) on Tuesday, September 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Giants are 72-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 80-70 ATS.

Giants vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 3-3, 3.53 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 8-5, 3.41 ERA

Giants vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +150O 7.5 -115-115
Orioles +1.5 -185U 7.5 -105-105

Giants vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 14 away games (+18.45 Units / 132% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+11.50 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 away games (+9.35 Units / 61% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 15 games at home (+26.50 Units / 177% ROI)
  • Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 72 away games (+11.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+9.39 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 31 away games (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 29 away games (+4.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 75 games (+18.75 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 76 of their last 141 games (+15.85 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 103 games (+9.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.40 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 66 games at home (+1.95 Units / 2% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 73-77 against the Run Line (-11.2 Units / -5.71% ROI).

  • 72-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -8.64% ROI
  • 75-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.27% ROI
  • 69-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.55 Units / -8.18% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 80-70 against the Run Line (+15.7 Units / 8.72% ROI).

  • 84-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -3.09% ROI
  • 78-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.55 Units / 7.67% ROI
  • 60-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.8 Units / -15.7% ROI

Orioles vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1200

Orioles vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Emmanuel Rivera (BAL) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130

Orioles vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Anthony Santander (BAL) 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Orioles vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell (SF) 7.5 +115 7.5 -150

Opponents are hitting just .170 (64-for-377) against Blake Snell when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (782/2,090) against Blake Snell since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (275/731) against Blake Snell this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 29% of batters they faced (403/1,373 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 189 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 0 Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Albert Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (16 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .385 — 0 Percentile.

Albert Suarez has allowed an OPS of 1.500 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .687 — 0 Percentile.

Albert Suarez has thrown fastballs up 80% of the time (269/336) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.

Albert Suarez has thrown fastballs up 69% of the time (690/996) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Giants are just 49-77 (.389) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Giants are 189-6 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Giants are 124-4 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Orioles are 21-12 (.636) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Orioles are 43-19 (.694) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .560.

The Orioles are 64-23 (.736) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

Giants hitters have 837 strikeouts in 3,364 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants hitters have 6 extra-base hits out of 9 total hits (67%) against LHP this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Giants are batting just .129 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

The Giants are batting just .223 with two outs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Orioles hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 173 of 2,769 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 1,355 of 17,776 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Orioles have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Orioles pitchers have won 37% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
  • San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.