- The Padres are -155 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Giants / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | NSBA | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (+130) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Giants are 69-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 72-71 ATS.
Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 11-9, 3.43 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 12-10, 3.63 ERA
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | O 7 -115 | +130 |
| Padres | -1.5 +150 | U 7 -105 | -155 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 45 games (+35.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+18.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+16.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 45 games (+12.55 Units / 27% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 34 games (+31.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+14.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 50 games (+13.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games at home (+9.40 Units / 125% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 70 away games (+9.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+3.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 55 games (+2.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 66 games (+16.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+11.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 111 games (+6.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+3.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 68-74 against the Run Line (-12.3 Units / -6.69% ROI).
- 69-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -8.28% ROI
- 71-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI
- 65-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.15 Units / -8.4% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 72-71 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 1.78% ROI).
- 81-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 2.57% ROI
- 77-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 4.51% ROI
- 64-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.5 Units / -13.56% ROI
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -115 |
| Logan Webb (SF) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Logan Webb this season is 424.5 feet — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 398.3
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (315/551) against Logan Webb this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (135/454) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (531/858) against Logan Webb since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 185 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has walked 92 of 835 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (254/690) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 60% of the time (836/1,403) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 49% of the time (286/584) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 30-194 (.134) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Giants are 186-6 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are just 63-87 (.420) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 46-32 (.590) after a win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Padres are 26-19 (.578) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 10-53 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Padres are 19-42 (.311) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .249 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Giants are batting just .237 since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Giants hitters are slugging just .186 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Giants are batting just .247 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 73 strikeouts in 496 PA’s (15%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 9 strikeouts in 112 PA’s (8%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Padres hitters have just 250 strikeouts in 1,490 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 53 of 448 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (7,421 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Giants vs Padres and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
