- The Padres are -200 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Giants / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+165) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-200) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Giants are 70-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 72-72 ATS.
Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Spencer Bivens 3-1, 2.86 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove 5-4, 4.13 ERA
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -115 | +165 |
| Padres | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -105 | -200 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 46 games (+34.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+18.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+16.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.75 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 34 games (+31.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+14.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 71 away games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 61 of their last 111 games (+4.85 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 56 games (+3.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 67 games (+15.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 112 games (+5.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.60 Units / 30% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 69-74 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -6.08% ROI).
- 70-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.15 Units / -7.64% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 0.51% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.35 Units / -9.09% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 72-72 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 1.21% ROI).
- 81-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 1.88% ROI
- 78-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.05 Units / 5.12% ROI
- 64-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.7 Units / -14.21% ROI
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Musgrove (SD) | 6.5 -115 | 6.5 -115 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (3/40) against Spencer Bivens over the last 14 days — lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (3/25) against Spencer Bivens over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Spencer Bivens has a strikeout rate of just 14% (3 SO in 22 PAs) over the last 14 days — 15th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — 14th Percentile.
Spencer Bivens has a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (11/22) in his last three appearances — tied for 11th lowest among among 113 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 13th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Musgrove has not allowed a home run in any of the last 41.1 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 81.1.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OPS of just .619 (346 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: .731 — 93rd Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to May 21st — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 14.
Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of just .341 (232 Total Bases / 680 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 92nd Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 121-4 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are just 63-87 (.420) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Giants are 23-14 (.622) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are 15-11 (.577) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Padres are 69-56 (.552) after a road win since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Padres are 25-18 (.581) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Padres are 10-53 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 13 strikeouts in 35 PA’s (37%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .484 (6,210 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Giants hitters are slugging just .383 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Giants hitters are slugging just .249 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 940 strikeouts in 5,430 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 690 strikeouts in 3,940 PA’s (17%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 7 strikeouts in 83 PA’s (8%) against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 170 of 2,705 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have walked 16 of 116 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
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