- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Pirates
- Giants vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Giants / Pirates TV Channel: SNPT | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Giants are 23-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 27-22 ATS.
Giants vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-3, 11.58 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 3-4, 2.91 ERA
Giants vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Giants vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+26.60 Units / 133% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 26 games (+10.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+14.30 Units / 159% ROI)
- Edward Olivares has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+11.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.55 Units / 66% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 22 games at home (+9.80 Units / 42% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.95 Units / 65% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 67% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+6.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 38 games (+15.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 38 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.25 Units / 63% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 23-26 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -6.51% ROI).
- 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -12.87% ROI
- 24-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -1.87% ROI
- 23-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -6.54% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 27-22 against the Run Line (+2.76 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 23-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -8.43% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -7.58% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.23 Units / 0.43% ROI
Pirates vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Marco Luciano (SF) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Pirates vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Luis Matos (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Perez (PIT) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Logan Webb (SF) | 4.5 -155 | 4.5 +120 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has allowed three-ball counts to 32% of batters they faced (259/800 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 38% (201/533) against Blake Snell since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Blake Snell has a strike rate of just 55% (416/755) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .140 (55-for-393) against Blake Snell’s non-fastballs since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 72% (548/761) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 37% (89/241) against Jared Jones this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 75% (177/236) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (155/439) against Jared Jones this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Giants are 151-4 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are just 42-63 (.400) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Giants are 86-2 (.977) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Giants are 31-16 (.660) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Pirates are just 10-14 (.417) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Pirates are 48-8 (.857) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .737.
The Pirates are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 129-68 (.655) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .407 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Giants are batting just .155 with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Giants hitters are slugging just .243 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .309 (3,842 PA’s) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .333 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .495 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,322 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 997 of 13,965 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants pitchers have walked 110 of 1,869 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 6 of 161 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (18 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Pirates pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Pirates won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,338 of 14,353 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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