- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Giants vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Red Sox TV Channel: NSBA | NESN | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+115) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Giants are 14-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 16-13 ATS.
Giants vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 3-1, 2.33 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 1-1, 2.46 ERA
Giants vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +125 | O 8 +100 | -135 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -120 | +115 |
Giants vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 away games (+20.40 Units / 170% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 90% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Connor Wong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+16.50 Units / 165% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+14.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+12.75 Units / 142% ROI)
- Enmanuel Valdez has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+9.20 Units / 40% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.49 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 14-15 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -4.39% ROI).
- 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -4.27% ROI
- 14-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -5.12% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 16-13 against the Run Line (+0.6 Units / 1.42% ROI).
- 16-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 7.58% ROI
- 13-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -7.23% ROI
- 14-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -1.09% ROI
Red Sox vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Red Sox vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Red Sox vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Patrick Bailey (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (1,546/3,764) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 76% (32/42) against Logan Webb — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (460/738) against Logan Webb since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (44/94) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (17/95) against Cooper Criswell this season — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 49% of the time (28/57) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Cooper Criswell has an average fastball velocity of just 89.3 MPH this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (3/31) against Cooper Criswell on changeups this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Giants are 45-7 (.865) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Giants are just 39-55 (.415) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Giants are 29-14 (.674) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Giants are 78-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Red Sox are just 19-81 (.190) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Red Sox are just 42-55 (.433) after a loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Red Sox are just 20-32 (.385) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Red Sox are just 1-84 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .401 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Giants hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Giants are batting just .242 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters have 147 extra-base hits out of 473 total hits (just 31%) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .285 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .737 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .549.
Red Sox hitters have 821 strikeouts in 3,410 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of 1.351 (188 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.061.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 4 of 108 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 74 of 1,085 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 117 of 1,698 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 2.71 (262.1 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Red Sox vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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