- The Giants are +100 favorites vs the Twins
- Giants vs Twins Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Giants / Twins TV Channel: ATV
The San Francisco Giants (-110) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-110) on Friday, May 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, MN.
This season, the Giants are 24-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 21-17 ATS.
Giants vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Jordan Hicks 1-3, 6.09 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-3, 5.57 ERA
Giants vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | O 9 -102 | -110 |
| Twins | +1.5 -180 | U 9 -118 | -110 |
Giants vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Giants vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+12.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 77% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+18.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+15.10 Units / 53% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+14.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.75 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 away games (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+9.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.54 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+7.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 19-19 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 1.31% ROI).
- 24-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 13.42% ROI
- 22-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 13.42% ROI
- 15-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -22.6% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 21-17 against the Run Line (+5.55 Units / 12.03% ROI).
- 18-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -11.22% ROI
- 13-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.35 Units / -26.93% ROI
- 22-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.8 Units / 18.82% ROI
Twins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Twins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Twins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Jordan Hicks (SF) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -118 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 71% (41/58) against Jordan Hicks this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks threw 563 fastballs at 100+ MPH in 2023 — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Hicks threw 423 fastballs at 100+ MPH in 2023 — most among NL Relievers — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .155 (9-for-58) against Jordan Hicks when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 93rd Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 11% (5 SO in 46 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of just .256 (23 Total Bases / 90 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .431 — 99th Percentile.
Chris Paddack has struck out just 11% (7/65) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 21% — sixth Percentile.
Chris Paddack has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (70 Total Bases / 140 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: .360 — second Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are 3-11 (.214) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .086.
The Giants were just 20-24 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
The Giants are 10-4 (.714) after a loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Giants are 12-9 (.571) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
The Twins are just 0-11 (.000) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
The Twins are just 1-85 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Twins were just 32-46 (.410) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Royals (sixth best runs allowed) today.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
Giants hitters have struck out in 25% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters struck out 453 times in 1,790 PA’s (25%) against LHP in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .147 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
The Twins are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Twins are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 6% of batters over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Giants vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
