- The Giants are +100 favorites vs the Yankees
- Giants vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Giants / Yankees TV Channel: YES | NSBA | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (+100) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-120) on Friday, April 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx, NY.
This season, the Giants are 9-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 6-6 ATS.
Giants vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 2-0, 3.18 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 0-0, 7.28 ERA
Giants vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -115 | +100 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -105 | -120 |
Giants vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+23.80 Units / 397% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+13.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.40 Units / 85% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+30.50 Units / 508% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- Marcus Stroman has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 80 away games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 80 away games (+6.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 80 away games (+5.68 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 away games (+5.10 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 72 of their last 161 games (+2.32 Units / 1% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 96 of their last 175 games (+16.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 175 games (+7.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.20 Units / 66% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 87 games at home (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 8-4 against the Run Line (+6.4 Units / 44.14% ROI).
- 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.5 Units / 36.54% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.5 Units / 11.54% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.9 Units / -21.64% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 6-6 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 3.37% ROI).
- 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.4 Units / 2.3% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 21.15% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -27.99% ROI
Yankees vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Yankees vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (NYY) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Yankees vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Volpe (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Yankees vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Stroman (NYY) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Robbie Ray (SF) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Robbie Ray has a strike rate of just 37% (11/30) on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Robbie Ray has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 46% (20/44) of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.
Robbie Ray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .062 (1 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 97th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — eighth Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 63% (134/214) against Marcus Stroman in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Marcus Stroman located 76% of his pitches away (1,039/1,360) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted .425 against Marcus Stroman on the first pitch of at-bats last season — third worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– second Percentile. Opponents batted just .259 (15-for-58) against him on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 95th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .353 (60-for-170) against Marcus Stroman since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Giants are 5-1 (.833) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Giants are 6-2 (.750) after a win this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .503.
The Giants are 11-146 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Giants were just 20-24 (.455) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Reds (16th best runs scored) today.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Yankees are 52-11 (.825) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Yankees were 37-21 (.638) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Tigers (fifth best runs allowed) today.
The Yankees are 53-34 (.609) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .472.
The Yankees were 48-10 (.828) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants hitters have 892 strikeouts in 3,565 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Giants hitters have drawn 5 walks in 97 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 240 walks in 2,029 PA’s (12%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees hitters are slugging .554 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Yankees hitters are slugging .649 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 50% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 15 of 81 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
More MLB Reading:
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