- The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Blue Jays TV Channel: BSGL | RSN
The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Guardians are 44-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 32-38 ATS.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Ben Lively 6-2, 2.60 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 5-5, 2.96 ERA
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -110 | +110 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -110 | -135 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 22 away games (+21.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 9 away games (+7.85 Units / 87% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 away games (+7.70 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 50 games (+17.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 47 games (+17.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+15.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+13.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+9.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.02 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 68 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 68 games (+11.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 54 games (+11.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 39 away games (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 65 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 56 games (+4.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 38% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 38-30 against the Run Line (+11.7 Units / 14.22% ROI).
- 44-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.02 Units / 18.08% ROI
- 31-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.25 Units / -5.64% ROI
- 32-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -2.42% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 32-38 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -12.49% ROI).
- 34-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -9.49% ROI
- 29-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -18.24% ROI
- 39-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 8.74% ROI
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Lively (CLE) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .178 against Ben Lively vs left-handed batters this season — tied for sixth best among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP– 94th Percentile. Left handed batters hit .296 (55-for-186) against him last season — 10th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 10th Percentile.
Ben Lively has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to May 14th — Carlos Carrasco has the longest active streak at 7.
Ben Lively has averaged 90.0 MPH on fastballs this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — third Percentile.
Ben Lively has an average spin rate of 1996.3 RPM on sliders since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 2414.5 — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios allowed a batting average of .287 vs right-handed batters (tied for sixth worst)– ninth Percentile and just .175 vs left-handed batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (252/648) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .824 (14 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .382 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .680 (17 Total Bases / 25 ABs) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .268 — second Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 8-8 (.500) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Guardians are 12-8 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Guardians are 37-133 (.218) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 8-2 (.800) after a home loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 26-18 (.591) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 20-12 (.625) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Blue Jays are just 12-78 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Blue Jays are 189-50 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians are batting just .237 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,913 strikeouts in 10,530 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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