- The Mariners are -130 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Guardians / Mariners TV Channel: GDTV | RTNW
The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on Friday, June 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA, WA.
This season, the Guardians are 35-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 29-38 ATS.
Guardians vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 5-3, 3.90 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +165 | O 7 +105 | -105 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -125 | -115 |
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+14.00 Units / 233% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+8.30 Units / 92% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 58 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 64 games (+5.24 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 61 games (+4.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+3.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 35-32 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.42% ROI).
- 35-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 4.57% ROI
- 30-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -8.6% ROI
- 34-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.54% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 29-38 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -11.81% ROI).
- 33-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -11.29% ROI
- 35-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.15 Units / 4.29% ROI
- 29-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.67 Units / -13.06% ROI
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -295 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 39% (54/138) against Gavin Williams when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has walked 13% of opponent 7-8-9 hitters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Gavin Williams has walked 16% of left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .136 (6-for-44) against Gavin Williams in his last two starts — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% (80/209) against Luis Castillo in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 65% of the time (2,645/4,098) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 61% of the time (828/1,350) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 66% of the time (259/395) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians are 99-3 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Guardians are 106-2 (.981) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners were just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were 10-56 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mariners were 18-1 (.947) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
The Mariners are 80-11 (.879) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Guardians hitters have 15 extra-base hits out of 69 total hits (just 22%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .213 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .215 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Mariners hitters slugged just .219 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Guardians pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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