- The Guardians are -120 favorites vs the Nationals
- Guardians vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Nationals TV Channel: GDTV | MAS2
The Cleveland Guardians (-118) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-102) on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 3:35pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Guardians are 20-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 18-17 ATS.
Guardians vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 2-3, 4.79 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 2-1, 4.08 ERA
Guardians vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Guardians | -1.5 +140 | O 9.5 -120 | -118 |
Nationals | +1.5 -170 | U 9.5 +100 | -102 |
Guardians vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+23.00 Units / 256% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+14.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.55 Units / 38% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.45 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+16.90 Units / 169% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 73% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 16 away games (+2.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.10 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+6.10 Units / 36% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 17-17 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -7.68% ROI).
- 20-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +7 Units / 17.52% ROI
- 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 1.56% ROI
- 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -6.37% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 18-17 against the Run Line (-0.35 Units / -0.81% ROI).
- 16-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 0.96% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -2.53% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -3.02% ROI
Nationals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Alex Call (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (4/62) against Ben Lively with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (35/112) against Ben Lively this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has walked 12% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (4/62) against Ben Lively with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (37/110) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (244/631) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a chase rate of just 20% (102/502) against Jake Irvin in 2023 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (64/173) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 87-3 (.967) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Guardians were just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians are just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Nationals are 2-18 (.100) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .039.
The Nationals are just 52-86 (.377) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season They play the Guardians (14th best runs scored) today.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 48-160 (.231) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians batted just .232 against LHP in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since the 2023 season (479/13,268) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters put 39% of their swings in play on pitches 95 mph or greater in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Guardians vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.